Hubris vs. History

October 10, 2010 at 2:17 pm Leave a comment

I’ve come to the conclusion that when estimating software, one should go with historical information whenever possible.  Every project is different, so our first instinct is to ask each other for estimates on this “new thing”.  We don’t think that our past is relevant.  The main reason this doesn’t work is because software developers are too optimistic when it comes to the number of hours it takes to do a task.  We are either too optimistic or our pride won’t let us admit some task that seems simple on the surface often has an ugly underbelly.

In the end, it will be much more freeing if we just use historical information whenever possible.  Then the hubris of the moment won’t handcuff the projects success.

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